AI (Artificial Intelligence) nautil.us

What would it take for artificial intelligence to make real progress?  ↦

Gary Marcus makes the case that deep learning has hit a wall:

Let me start by saying a few things that seem obvious,” Geoffrey Hinton, “Godfather” of deep learning, and one of the most celebrated scientists of our time, told a leading AI conference in Toronto in 2016. “If you work as a radiologist you’re like the coyote that’s already over the edge of the cliff but hasn’t looked down.” Deep learning is so well-suited to reading images from MRIs and CT scans, he reasoned, that people should “stop training radiologists now” and that it’s “just completely obvious within five years deep learning is going to do better.”

Fast forward to 2022, and not a single radiologist has been replaced.

But he doesn’t stop there. After laying out multiple examples of deep learning failures, he change tone:

For the first time in 40 years, I finally feel some optimism about AI.

Read the article to find out why that is.


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